Key Insights:
- Dogecoin's price rebounded 11.36% from $0.1643, confirming a falling wedge breakout with a potential target near $0.2561.
- Binance data indicated strong bullish sentiment, with 67.84% of traders holding long positions and open interest reaching $1.81 billion.
- Dogecoin maintained its position above the crucial $0.20 trendline.
Dogecoin (DOGE) continues to attract investor attention, holding above a significant ascending trendline established in early 2023. After reaching a 7-day low of $0.1643, DOGE experienced a sharp rebound, suggesting increased buyer interest near key support levels. Analysts identified the $0.165-$0.200 range as a crucial accumulation zone, supported by technical analysis, market activity, and a rise in long positions.
Dogecoin Price Rebounds from Trendline Support Near $0.14
Dogecoin has consistently followed an uptrend supported by a trendline originating in early 2023. This trendline recently coincided with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level near $0.165. The convergence of these technical indicators fueled buying pressure in this zone, leading to a short-term price recovery. Analyst Ali Martinez, citing X data, noted DOGE's adherence to this trendline since October 2024, suggesting a potential buying opportunity near $0.14 if the trendline holds. Weekly candle analysis reveals repeated price bounces from this area, indicating its significance as a potential long entry point for traders.
Source: X
Dogecoin's price near $0.20 showed a 12% increase from its weekly low, signaling a short-term bullish reversal. This bounce further validated the trendline's importance, as each pullback has been met with renewed upward momentum. The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $0.165 remains a key technical pivot point.
Falling Wedge Breakout Signals Bullish Momentum for DOGE
The 4-hour chart shows a confirmed breakout from a falling wedge pattern. This pattern emerged from a series of lower highs and lower lows over a two-week period. TradingView data confirmed the breakout after a four-hour candlestick closed above the wedge's upper trendline. Following the breakout, DOGE rallied to $0.1810 and continued its ascent toward the 78.6% Fibonacci level at $0.1860. Analysts predict a potential move towards $0.2042–$0.2061 based on wedge pattern calculations, contingent on breaching this level. This target was estimated by measuring the wedge's height and adding it to the breakout level.
Source: TradingView
Market sentiment reflects this bullish breakout. CoinGlass data shows a 7.19% daily increase in DOGE futures open interest, reaching $1.81 billion. Furthermore, 67.84% of Binance traders held long positions, and the funding rate returned to 0.0051%, indicating bullish sentiment and a willingness to hold positions.
Rising Open Interest and Liquidation Data Reflect Strong Market Activity
Between May 5th and May 7th, Dogecoin experienced a price decline resulting in modest liquidations of long positions, according to CoinGlass data, as the price approached the $0.164 zone. However, on May 8th, the price rose above $0.18, accompanied by a significant short liquidation of $3.71 million.
A potential price target for DOGE is $0.300 (corresponding to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level). If bulls successfully break through this level, the next resistance level lies between $0.2042 and $0.2061, aligning with price objectives derived from the falling wedge pattern on micro and mini charts.
Source: CoinGlass
Support levels remain well-defined, with the $0.1729 and $0.1642 zones acting as recent price floors. Trading activity suggests strong buyer interest in these support areas. If Dogecoin falls below $0.1642, a potential retracement towards the 0.382 Fibonacci level at $0.1283 is possible.
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